The search for the next pope is always an intense and unpredictable process, with cardinals from across the world gathering in the Sistine Chapel to select the leader of the Roman Catholic Church.
As Pope Francis’ pontificate enters its later years, speculation about his successor has reached a fever pitch. The conclave that will determine the next pope is set to be a pivotal moment for the Church, as it will likely shape the direction of the Vatican for decades to come.
While the process of choosing a new pope remains shrouded in secrecy, a few names have emerged as potential candidates—also known as papabile—who are seen as possessing the right qualities to lead the Church in a time of profound change.
Under Pope Francis’ leadership, the Catholic Church has undergone significant reforms, making the upcoming papal election a crucial one for determining whether the Church will continue down a progressive path or shift toward a more conservative direction.
With that in mind, here are some of the top contenders for the papacy.
Cardinal Pietro Parolin Holy See Secretary of State
Cardinal Pietro Parolin, the current Secretary of State of the Holy See, is widely considered one of the leading candidates for the papacy. Parolin, who has served as the Vatican’s number two official since 2013, is a skilled diplomat with extensive experience in international relations.
Hailing from northern Italy, he has worked in Latin America and played a crucial role in efforts to improve relations with countries such as Vietnam and China.
Parolin is credited with being one of the architects of the Vatican’s diplomatic outreach and has been involved in some of the Church’s most significant geopolitical moves, including the 2016 peace agreement in Colombia.
While Parolin is seen as a cautious and conservative figure, his diplomatic acumen and ability to navigate complex international issues make him a strong contender.
His more moderate approach to Francis' reforms might appeal to those seeking continuity without a drastic departure from the current direction of the Church.
Cardinal Matteo Zuppi Archbishop of Bologna
Cardinal Matteo Zuppi, Archbishop of Bologna, is another prominent candidate who has garnered attention for his diplomatic skills and progressive outlook.
Zuppi is a member of the Sant’Egidio community, a Catholic humanitarian group that has been involved in peacebuilding efforts around the world. In 2023, Pope Francis tasked Zuppi with leading a peace mission for Ukraine, highlighting his reputation as a skilled mediator.
Known for his outreach to LGBTQ+ Catholics and his humble, pastoral approach, Zuppi would continue many of Francis’ reforms if he were elected.
His charisma and commitment to social justice make him a strong candidate, especially among those who favor a more inclusive and compassionate vision for the Church.
Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle Leader of the Vatican Office for Evangelization
Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle, the Archbishop of Manila and the head of the Vatican’s office for evangelization, is often referred to as the "Asian Francis" due to his alignment with Pope Francis’ pastoral priorities.
Tagle has gained a reputation as a humble, charismatic leader with a deep commitment to the poor and marginalized. He has served in a variety of leadership roles within the Church, including heading the global charitable arm of the Vatican.
Tagle is considered a strong contender due to his global appeal, particularly in Asia, where the Catholic Church is growing rapidly. His candidacy would mark a historic moment, as he would be the first Southeast Asian pope.
While there have been concerns about his management skills following a restructuring of the Vatican's charity office, Tagle's vision for a Church focused on evangelization and social justice resonates with many of the priorities of Pope Francis.
Cardinal Pablo Virgilio Siongco David Bishop of Kalookan
Cardinal Pablo Virgilio Siongco David, the outspoken Bishop of Kalookan in the Philippines, has gained attention for his vocal advocacy for social justice and his criticism of the human rights abuses under former President Rodrigo Duterte.
David has been a strong voice against the war on drugs in the Philippines and has faced death threats and legal challenges as a result. His commitment to defending the poor and advocating for a Church that is inclusive and compassionate aligns with Pope Francis’ vision.
David’s candidacy would be significant not only because of his advocacy for social justice but also because he would be the first Filipino and Southeast Asian pope.
As a prominent leader in the Church’s ongoing reforms, David could serve as a unifying figure who continues the work of Pope Francis while focusing on the global South, where the Church’s influence is growing.
Cardinal Gérald Cyprien Lacroix Archbishop of Quebec
Cardinal Gérald Cyprien Lacroix, Archbishop of Quebec, is considered an accomplished and pastoral leader with a strong focus on missionary work and a commitment to serving the Church in an increasingly secularized world.
Lacroix’s leadership skills were recognized by Pope Francis, who appointed him to the Council of Cardinals, the advisory body that helps guide the direction of the Vatican.
Although Lacroix has faced some controversy due to past allegations of sexual abuse (which he has strongly denied and for which a Vatican investigation found no evidence), his leadership in Quebec and his focus on mission work could make him a compelling candidate for the papacy.
His pastoral sensitivity and commitment to dialogue with secular society make him a strong contender in the eyes of those who favor a missionary-oriented Church.
Cardinal Fridolin Ambongo Besungu Archbishop of Kinshasa
Cardinal Fridolin Ambongo Besungu, Archbishop of Kinshasa in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, is a rising star in the Church, particularly due to his role as a strong moral voice in his home country.
As the leader of one of the largest Catholic communities in Africa, Ambongo has built a reputation for his defense of human rights, democracy, and social justice.
He has been a vocal critic of corruption and warlords in the Congo, and his commitment to the welfare of the poor and marginalized aligns with the values of Pope Francis.
Ambongo’s candidacy would mark an important shift in the Church, reflecting the growing influence of Catholicism in Africa.
As a Capuchin Franciscan, his spirituality is rooted in the teachings of St. Francis of Assisi, and his moral leadership could resonate with cardinals seeking a pope who prioritizes peace and justice.
Cardinal Joseph Tobin Archbishop of Newark
Cardinal Joseph Tobin, Archbishop of Newark, is a beloved figure within the Catholic Church, known for his compassionate leadership and advocacy for social justice.
Tobin has extensive international experience, having worked in Rome as a senior Vatican official and as the leader of his Redemptorist order. He has been a vocal advocate for migrants and refugees, once defying a ban on Syrian refugees imposed by then-Governor Mike Pence in Indiana.
Tobin’s international experience and leadership in various Catholic communities make him a strong contender, particularly among those who see the Church’s future as lying in North America.
His focus on welcoming the marginalized and his down-to-earth, big-hearted approach make him a popular figure among cardinals who favor a pope who can bridge divides and connect with people on a global scale.
Cardinal Robert Prevost Prefect of the Vatican Dicastery for Bishops
Cardinal Robert Prevost, a member of the Augustinian order and the current Prefect of the Vatican Dicastery for Bishops, is considered a highly capable and experienced leader.
He has spent many years in Peru, working with local communities and gaining a deep understanding of the Church in Latin America. Prevost’s leadership in overseeing the appointment of bishops worldwide gives him significant influence in the Vatican.
Though the election of an American pope is unlikely due to concerns over the political influence of the U.S., Prevost’s extensive experience in Latin America and his deep knowledge of the Church’s global needs could make him a strong contender, particularly among those who value continuity with Pope Francis’ focus on the global South.
Cardinal Tarcisius Isao Kikuchi Archbishop of Tokyo
Cardinal Tarcisius Isao Kikuchi, Archbishop of Tokyo, is another strong candidate whose international experience could make him a unifying figure.
Kikuchi, a Japanese missionary, has spent many years working in Africa and has taken on a leadership role in the Church’s charitable efforts, including serving as the head of Caritas Japan. His anti-nuclear stance and commitment to social justice make him a figure of moral leadership.
Kikuchi’s background as a missionary and his experience with interfaith dialogue, particularly with Muslims, could make him an appealing choice for cardinals who want a pope focused on peace and cooperation in a divided world.
His leadership in Japan could also help strengthen the Church’s influence in Asia, where Catholicism is growing rapidly.
The next papal election is shaping up to be a momentous one, with a wide range of candidates offering different visions for the future of the Catholic Church. Whether the next pope will continue the reforms of Pope Francis or chart a new course remains to be seen, but the diverse pool of potential candidates ensures that the Church will have strong leadership no matter the outcome.
